Analysis13 Nov
Trump has taken Iran away from JD Vance. It could help him win the primary, not the presidency
The vice-president who led the Iran talks has been reassigned to fraud in Democrat-run states. Traders lifted his chances of the Republican nomination on the news, but marked down his chances of winning the presidency, and cut the odds of a quick pause in the fighting.
38%
JD Vance wins the 2028 Republican nomination
up 3 points over 7dLive odds on Polymarket
Future Times13 Nov 20264 min read