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Sample
US and Iran announce a nuclear deal by 31 December
You 62% · Market 58% · 4 pts above the market
NowMarket 58%You 62%
With Pro: your Polymarket positions, matched to our stories (sample)
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
Yes2,400 shares · entry 48¢ → now 63¢up 10 points over 7dEnds in 37 days
Value $1,512+$360 (+31%)
Your forecast gives Yes 70%, 7 pts above its 63¢ price.
- Cites this marketNewYesterdayMarkets price a December cut as inflation cools faster than the Fed expectedA December cut is now the base case
- US-Iran nuclear deal by December 31?
No1,800 shares · entry 61¢ → now 42¢down 6 points over 7dEnds in 51 days
Value $756-$342 (-31%)
Your forecast gives No 38%, 4 pts below its 42¢ price.
- Same event7 NovOil slides on hopes of an Iran deal. Tehran wants a US climbdown first.A deal is closer than it looks