Fed rate cut by June 202662%+0%
Trump tariffs extended 202671%+0%
Ukraine ceasefire 202634%+0%
OpenAI valuation above $300B58%+0%
Major US company bankruptcy 202629%+0%
All Market Signals →

Policy & Power

Policy

Markets Already Price Starmer's Slow-Motion Collapse

Prediction markets give Starmer a 60% chance of leaving office by year-end, revealing a slow-burn crisis political coverage is missing.

24% out by June 30Future Times · 8 May 2026 · 2 min read
Policy

Millions Vote as Starmer Faces His Worst Night Yet

Prediction markets say local election losses won't end the prime minister's tenure.

12% Starmer out by May 15Future Times · 7 May 2026 · 2 min read
Policy

Britain Pays for a War It Never Chose

The UK Chancellor clashed with her US counterpart as gilt yields, bank profits, and energy costs all signal Britain is the G7's biggest loser from the Iran conflict.

30% US invasion of Iran before 2027Future Times · 5 May 2026 · 3 min read

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Peru's Left Won the Most Bets. Fujimori Won the Election.

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Britain's Consumer Confidence Just Hit a 48-Year Low

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Iran Standoff Puts US-UK Trade Deal at Risk

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The Map Decides the House. Tariffs Decide the Senate.

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Trump's Silence Hands an Impeached AG the Senate Lead

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Prediction Markets Price a Coin Flip on Starmer's Premiership

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