Fed rate cut by June 202662%+0%
Trump tariffs extended 202671%+0%
Ukraine ceasefire 202634%+0%
OpenAI valuation above $300B58%+0%
Major US company bankruptcy 202629%+0%
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Policy & Power

Policy

Trump Claims Iran Peace Breakthrough. Markets Say Otherwise.

President Trump announces "very good and productive conversations" with Iran and pauses strikes on energy infrastructure for five days. Prediction markets give a ceasefire just a one-in-seven chance of materialising.

16% US x Iran ceasefire by March 31Future Times · 23 Mar 2026 · 2 min read
Policy

Washington and Beijing Float a Trade Body. The Details Are Thin.

The US and China are exploring a new bilateral "Board of Trade" to manage economic tensions, following what officials described as "remarkably stable" talks in Paris last week.

79% U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31 between 5-15%?Future Times · 22 Mar 2026 · 2 min readPro