Sunday, 3 May 2026
4 days ago
UAE Quits OPEC, Splitting the Cartel at Its Weakest Moment
The UAE will leave OPEC on May 1, fracturing the oil cartel as Hormuz tensions threaten global crude flows and US-Iran diplomacy hangs in the balance.
Trump's China Trip Is 2028 Primary Infrastructure
Oil Stopped Panicking. That Might Be the Problem.
The UAE Broker Thesis Collapsed. Markets Haven't Noticed.
Abu Dhabi declared Iran untouchable 48 hours after Future Times flagged it as a potential mediator. The meeting odds haven't moved.
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Trump Goes to Beijing. Markets Don't Expect a Deal.
The BoE and Fed Are Frozen at Different Altitudes
Mamata's Bengal Win Exposes the Limits of Modi's Centralisation
Trump Rejected Iran's Hormuz Offer. The UAE May Step In.
Deep Dives
Pro
Workslop Is Dragging Enterprise AI Into a Productivity Trap
AI-generated "workslop" — output that looks competent but fails on inspection — is now documented as a structural drag on enterprise productivity. The problem is not that models are bad; it is that mandated adoption outran the human infrastructure needed to review their outputs.
AI & the Future of Work
AI is disrupting white-collar cognitive work before blue-collar trades, inverting the pattern of every prior automation wave. A three-layer framework explains why economists disagree and who faces displacement first.
Future of Prediction Markets
Prediction markets now process more weekly volume than most commodity exchanges. The question is whether Congress or the Supreme Court decides what they actually are.
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