Fed rate cut by June 202662%+0%
Trump tariffs extended 202671%+0%
Ukraine ceasefire 202634%+0%
OpenAI valuation above $300B58%+0%
Major US company bankruptcy 202629%+0%
All Market Signals →

Market Signals

Live prediction market data · Sourced from Polymarket · Updated every 5 minutes

📈

Economy

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

3%
$944K
24h vol

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

1%
$856K
24h vol

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

95%
$590K
24h vol

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

2%
$457K
24h vol
🏛️

Politics

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%
$1.8M
24h vol

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%
$1.7M
24h vol

Trump out as President by March 31?

1%
$1.7M
24h vol

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%
$1.1M
24h vol
🌍

Geopolitics

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

14%
$5.2M
24h vol

Netanyahu out by March 31?

1%
$2.8M
24h vol

Warriors vs. Mavericks

33%
$2.4M
24h vol

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

20%
$2.0M
24h vol
💻

Technology

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

8%
$505K
24h vol

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

30%
$389K
24h vol

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

8%
$335K
24h vol

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

3%
$264K
24h vol
🏢

Companies

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

46%
$910K
24h vol

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

2%
$613K
24h vol

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

1%
$492K
24h vol

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

20%
$412K
24h vol

Probabilities reflect the “Yes” outcome price on Polymarket, where participants trade real money on future events. Data is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.