Tech
Brussels Softens the AI Act. The IMF Says the Risks Are Growing.
EU lawmakers ease AI regulation as the IMF warns of mounting AI-driven financial risks.
Section
Tech & Capital
Technology and capital coverage — AI, crypto, and the companies shaping the future.
Tech & Capital · page 2Newest first
Tech
Trump Flies to Beijing. America's AI Advantage Stays Home.
The summit is near-certain but the US-China AI divide it cannot resolve is the real story.
92%Trump visits China by 31 Maywhen published
Tech
MegaETH Broke the Airdrop Playbook. Day-One Sellers Will Be Different.
No airdrop means no farming cohort dump. MegaETH's Thursday launch will test who actually sells when the usual suspects don't exist.
60%MegaETH FDV >$1.5B day onewhen published
Tech
Beijing Torpedoes Meta's $2bn Manus AI Deal
China's state planner orders Meta to unwind its acquisition of AI agent startup Manus on national security grounds, forcing a full reversal of the $2bn deal.
Tech
MegaETH’s $2 Billion Ceiling Reveals a Changed Crypto Market
Prediction markets give MegaETH near-certain odds of a strong debut but a hard cap on euphoria, signalling a structural shift in how crypto prices new tokens.
30%MegaETH FDV above $2B at launchwhen published
Tech
Anthropic's Trillion-Dollar Moment Eclipses OpenAI's New Model
Prediction markets held firm on Anthropic's lead even as OpenAI launched GPT-5.5 the same day.
90%Anthropic has the best AI model end of Aprilwhen published
Tech
MegaETH's Token Launch Is Certain. The Valuation Is Not.
Prediction markets price a 94% chance of launch next Wednesday, but only a one-in-three shot at the $2 billion valuation traders once took for granted.
33%FDV exceeds $2B at launchwhen published
Tech
Anthropic's Opus 4.7 Forces the AI Race Into the Open
A $14.9 million prediction market now prices Anthropic as the clear leader in artificial intelligence, as the industry's human costs mount.
70%Anthropic best AI model end of Aprilwhen published
Tech
Crypto's Broken Launch Pipeline Has a $18M Test Case
Polymarket traders have committed $18.2 million to pricing MegaETH's launch, but a wide probability spread and failing airdrop models suggest deep uncertainty about crypto's path from token to institution.
56%MegaETH airdrop by June 3when published
Tech
Bettors Price GTA VI June Launch at 1%
Polymarket contracts backed by $34.6 million in volume signal near-zero chance of a spring release, shifting focus to Take-Two's earnings timeline and the competition for deferred gaming spend.
1%GTA VI released before June 2026when published
Tech
The AI Arms Race Has No Treaty
The US and China are locked in an AI competition the New York Times calls "Mutually Automated Destruction." Unlike the nuclear arms race, no governance framework exists to contain it.
Tech
Twelve Tech Rivals Unite Behind an AI Too Dangerous to Release
Anthropic's withheld frontier model has found thousands of zero-day flaws across critical software, prompting an unprecedented industry coalition to deploy it under restricted access.
Tech
Anthropic Cuts Off Third-Party Tools from Claude Subscriptions
Subscribers using OpenClaw and similar AI agents must now pay separately, as Anthropic tightens control over its platform.
94%Anthropic best AI model by April 30when published
Tech
Bitcoin Faces Two Aprils at Once
Geopolitical tension and inflation risk are pulling bitcoin in opposite directions, and April's calendar will decide which force wins.
46%Bitcoin dips to $60,000 in April 2026when published
Tech
Google Releases Gemma 4, Its Most Capable Open Model
Google DeepMind releases Gemma 4 under an Apache 2.0 license, intensifying the open-source AI arms race.
Tech
Iran Names Nvidia and Apple as Retaliation Targets
Tehran explicitly identifies two critical US tech firms for retaliatory action, the first time a state actor has named specific companies during a live conflict.
Tech
Coinbase Lists EdgeX as Token Surges and Transparency Questions Mount
Prediction markets have built a six-tier valuation ladder for the new infrastructure token, pricing its most likely fully diluted value at around $600m.
82%EdgeX FDV above $500M after launchwhen published
Tech
Bitcoin Found a Floor. Three Forces Explain Why It Holds.
At $68,700, bitcoin is 45% below its October 2025 all-time high. It is also refusing to fall further, and the reasons have more to do with war, monetary policy, and industrial economics than with crypto sentiment.
99%Bitcoin above $66k on 22 Marchwhen published
Tech
300,000 Stars: OpenClaw Just Became the Fastest-Growing Dev Project in GitHub History
Developers are voting with their stars. Prediction markets have not noticed the local-first AI revolution they are funding.
1%chance OpenAI hardware ships by end of Marchwhen published
Tech
Pentagon Formalizes $1 Billion Maven Contract Built on AI It Just Banned
The Defense Department crowned Palantir's Maven its core military AI platform on March 20 — fifteen days after blacklisting Anthropic's Claude, the model that powers it. The US is now formally committed to waging war with AI it has officially prohibited.
50%US military AI escalationwhen published
